Why Migration to Europe Will Not Decrease: The Essential Role of Welfare and Security in the New Paradigm


Good morning, this is attorney Fabio Loscerbo, and welcome to a new episode of the “Integration or ReImmigration” podcast. Today I want to address a topic that will continue to shape Europe’s public debate for decades to come. Migration toward Europe—and toward Italy in particular—is not going to decrease. We can observe fluctuations, temporary slowdowns, routes that shrink and others that expand, but the long-term trend remains unchanged.

The main reason is straightforward: people move to find what they lack in their home countries. And what they lack is not just employment. What they lack is a reliable welfare system. They lack true, everyday security—not theoretical, but real. They lack institutional stability, predictable rules, and the chance to build a dignified future for themselves and their children. For those who live in countries marked by political tension, economic fragility, or non-existent welfare structures, migrating to Europe is a rational choice. It is an investment in life—not merely in income.

That is why the purely economic view of migration is now outdated. Believing that the phenomenon can be managed by calculating costs and benefits, or by reducing migrants to “labor force” or “financial burden,” means ignoring reality altogether. People do not come here because they are attracted by our labor market. They come because they are attracted by our protection system, our social model, and our institutional stability. And as long as the gap between Europe and the countries of origin remains this large, the migratory pressure will not decrease.

This is the truth many struggle to admit. If migration is not going to decrease, the only viable option is to govern it—not endure it. And this is where the new paradigm I have been promoting comes into play: integration or reimmigration. It is not an ideological slogan but a principle of mutual responsibility. Access to our welfare system requires real integration—language, employment, respect for rules, participation, and shared fundamental values. And when integration fails or is deliberately rejected, reimmigration must take place: the return to the country of origin. It is a clear, transparent model, understandable to both Italian citizens and foreign nationals.

We can no longer afford a casual or improvised approach to migration. We cannot continue shifting between indiscriminate reception and sudden restrictions. The numbers tell us that the phenomenon will continue. Global dynamics tell us that it will continue. And the perception migrants have of Europe leads to the same conclusion. The only way not to be overwhelmed is to build new, coherent rules based on a balance between rights and responsibilities. Rights if you integrate. ReImmigration if you refuse to.

The point is not being harsh or lenient. The point is being serious. When a country is serious, people respect it. When a country is chaotic, people take advantage of it. That is human nature. And this is why we must have the courage to acknowledge that migration toward Europe will not diminish—and that, precisely for this reason, we need a complete shift in approach.

This is attorney Fabio Loscerbo, and I invite you, as always, to explore these issues further at www.reimmigrazione.com. We will keep discussing them, without filters and without illusions. Because a country that knows the truth is a country that can choose its own future.

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